[1]达庆利,苏寿源.城市人口-经济政策仿真研究——一种多模型方法[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),1988,18(4):59-65.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1988.04.008]
　Da Qingli Su Shouyuan(Research Institute of Automation).A Study on Urban Population-Economy Policy Simulation——a Multimodel Approach[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),1988,18(4):59-65.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1988.04.008]
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城市人口-经济政策仿真研究——一种多模型方法()
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《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-0505/CN:32-1178/N]

卷:
18
期数:
1988年第4期
页码:
59-65
栏目:
本刊信息
出版日期:
1988-07-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
A Study on Urban Population-Economy Policy Simulation——a Multimodel Approach
作者:
达庆利; 苏寿源
南京工学院自动化研究所； 南京工学院自动化研究所
Author(s):
Da Qingli Su Shouyuan(Research Institute of Automation)
关键词:
人口预测;  政策仿真;  社会经济系统建模
Keywords:
population prediction;  policy simulation;  socio-economy system modelling
分类号:
+
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1988.04.008
摘要:
本文提出城市人口-经济政策仿真的一种多模型方法:分别计算相应政策方案下城市劳力人口的拥有量和需求量,当拥有量大于需求量时采用时间序列模型计算机械增长人口,否则采用劳力人口平衡模型。文中给出了应用实例,其结果为制定有关政策提供了比较科学的依据。
Abstract:
In this paper, a multimodel approach for urban population-economy policy simulation is proposed. With the approach, the supply and the demand for urban labour population are calculated; when the supply is more than the demand, the mechanical growth population is calculated by means of the time sequence model; ortherwise, the balance model between the supply and the demand for labours is used. An example is presented and the results provide a more scientific basis for formulating the relevant policy.
更新日期/Last Update: 2013-04-30