[1]李荆垠.城市远景交通量推算的一种变参数非线性模型[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),1989,19(5):88-93.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1989.05.013]
 Li Jing Yin (College of Management).A Nonlinear Time-Varying Model for Urban Traffic Volume Forecasting[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),1989,19(5):88-93.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1989.05.013]
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城市远景交通量推算的一种变参数非线性模型()
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《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-0505/CN:32-1178/N]

卷:
19
期数:
1989年第5期
页码:
88-93
栏目:
本刊信息
出版日期:
1989-09-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
A Nonlinear Time-Varying Model for Urban Traffic Volume Forecasting
作者:
李荆垠
东南大学管理学院
Author(s):
Li Jing Yin (College of Management)
关键词:
交通量 预测 非线性系统 时变/logistic模型
Keywords:
traffic flow forecasting nonlinear systems time-varying/logistic models
分类号:
+
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.1989.05.013
摘要:
本文以城市的整体发展为背景考察城市远景交通发生量的演化规律,提出了一种预测交通量变化趋势的变参数非线性模型,分析了该模型的原理、性质及模型参数的辨识方法。并给出了本模型对一些城市实际交通量的拟合和预测结果。
Abstract:
Based on the general pattern of urban development, a nonlinear model with time-varying parameters to forecast urban long-range traffic volume is put forward. The mechanism of the model is discussed, and an algorithm of estimating the time-varying parameters is developed. Some results are given to show the application of the model to the actual data of two cities.

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更新日期/Last Update: 2013-04-30