[1]陈华友,赵佳宝,刘春林.基于灰色关联度的组合预测模型的性质[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2004,34(1):130-134.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2004.01.031]
 Chen Huayou,Zhao Jiabao,Liu Chunlin.Properties of combination forecasting model based on degree of grey incidence[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),2004,34(1):130-134.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2004.01.031]
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基于灰色关联度的组合预测模型的性质()
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《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-0505/CN:32-1178/N]

卷:
34
期数:
2004年第1期
页码:
130-134
栏目:
数学、物理学、力学
出版日期:
2004-01-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Properties of combination forecasting model based on degree of grey incidence
作者:
陈华友1 赵佳宝1 刘春林2
1 南京大学管理科学与工程研究院,南京 210093; 2 南京大学商学院, 南京 210093
Author(s):
Chen Huayou1 Zhao Jiabao1 Liu Chunlin2
1 Graduate School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
2 Business School, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093, China
关键词:
灰色关联度 冗余度 优性组合预测 预测方法优超
Keywords:
degree of grey incidence redundant degree superior combination forecasting dominant forecasting method
分类号:
O221.1
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2004.01.031
摘要:
基于灰色关联度的组合预测模型是研究组合预测方法的一个新思路,实例结果表明它是一种有效的组合预测方法.针对该模型,提出新的优性组合预测、预测方法优超、冗余度等概念; 在一定的条件下, 证明模型的任一个可行解对应的组合预测至少是非劣性组合预测; 给出优性组合预测存在的一个充分条件, 最后证明冗余预测方法的一个判定定理,这对组合预测方法有效信息的提取具有重要的意义.
Abstract:
It is a new idea to study combination forecasting based on degree of grey incidence. Numerical examples have shown that it is a kind of effective combination forecasting method. In this paper, some new concepts are proposed, such as superior combination forecasting, dominant forecasting method, redundant degree, etc. Under certain conditions, it is proved that combination forecasting corresponding to the arbitrary feasible solution of this model is at least non-inferior. The sufficient conditions of existence of superior combination forecasting are also given. Finally the determining theorem of redundant forecasting method is proved, which is significant in extracting effective information in combination forecasting.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(70101003).
作者简介: 陈华友(1969—),男,博士,副教授, huayouc@sohu.com; 刘春林(联系人),男,博士,副教授,liucl@nju.edu.cn.
更新日期/Last Update: 2004-01-20