[1]杨敏,陈学武,王炜,等.基于人口和土地利用的城市新区交通生成预测模型[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2005,35(5):815-819.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2005.05.034]
 Yang Min,Chen Xuewu,Wang Wei,et al.Trip generation forecasting model of new district based on urban population and land use[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),2005,35(5):815-819.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2005.05.034]
点击复制

基于人口和土地利用的城市新区交通生成预测模型()
分享到:

《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-0505/CN:32-1178/N]

卷:
35
期数:
2005年第5期
页码:
815-819
栏目:
交通运输工程
出版日期:
2005-09-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Trip generation forecasting model of new district based on urban population and land use
作者:
杨敏 陈学武 王炜 李文勇
东南大学交通规划与管理江苏省重点实验室, 南京 210096
Author(s):
Yang Min Chen Xuewu Wang Wei Li Wenyong
Jiangsu Provincial Key Laboratory of Transportation Planning and Management, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
关键词:
城市新区 交通生成预测 土地利用 区位势
Keywords:
urban new district trip generation forecasting land use location potential
分类号:
U491.4
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2005.05.034
摘要:
针对城市新区背景下传统交通生成预测方法的不足,以城市人口-土地利用-交通需求相关关系为机理,建立了基于人口和土地利用的城市新区交通生成预测模型.苏州新区应用实例表明:对不同用地类型所引起的不同目的的出行,分别建立出行产生和吸引预测模型,能够使交通需求与新区土地利用特性直接相关; 通过确定回程出行比例的方法,实现了新区内部交通小区出行产生和吸引量的平衡; 通过引入区位势因子,进一步反映出新区内部不同交通小区由于土地利用强度和交通可达性的不同所引起的交通需求差异.
Abstract:
Because of the deficiency of conventional traffic generation forecasting method for the urban new district, a new model, based on the mechanism of urban population-land use-traffic demand, is established. The application of this new model in Suzhou New District indicates that traffic demand and land use feature in new urban area can be directly correlated when each type of land use has such a generating and attracting model which corresponds to its very own trip purpose. And a balance between traffic generation and attraction within new urban area is achieved by confirming the return trip factor. Finally, after introducing a location potential coefficient into this model, the inner difference of traffic demand characteristics among traffic zones, caused by the level of land use intensity and traffic accessibility is reflected.

参考文献/References:

[1] Boarnet Marlon,Crane Randall.The influence of land use on travel behavior:specification and estimation strategies [J]. Transportation Research Part A,2001,35(9):823-845.
[2] Ryan Sherry, Throgmorton James A.Sustainable transportation and land development on the periphery:a case study of Freiburg,Germany and Chula Vista,California [J]. Transportation Research Part D,2003,8(1):37-52.
[3] Golob Thomas F.A simultaneous model of household activity participation and trip chain generation [J].Transportation Research Part B,2000,34(5):355-376.
[4] Ortuzar J de D,Willumsen L G. Modelling transport [M].England:John Wiley & Sons Ltd,1999.113-147.
[5] 杨明,曲大义,王炜,等.城市土地利用与交通需求相关关系模型研究[J].公路交通科技,2002,19(1):72-75.
  Yang Ming,Qu Dayi,Wang Wei,et al.On the relationship between urban land use and traffic demand[J].Journal of Highway and Transportation Research and Development,2002,19(1):72-75.(in Chinese)
[6] 易汉文.城市分析与交通预测[M].武汉:湖北科学技术出版社,1994.55-80.
[7] 张兵.苏州高新区(虎丘区)协调发展规划[R].北京:中国城市规划设计研究院,2003.
[8] 王炜,陈学武.苏州高新区(虎丘区)公共交通规划[R].南京:东南大学交通学院,2004.
[9] 余继东,吴瑞麟.新城区居民出行生成和分布预测模型研究[J].武汉城市建设学院学报,1999,16(4):30-33.
  Yu Jidong,Wu Ruilin.Model study of trip generation & distribution forecast for new urban district[J].Journal of Wuhan Urban Construction Institute, 1999,16(4):30-33.(in Chinese)
[10] 石飞,王炜,江薇,等.基于土地利用形态的交通生成预测理论方法研究[J].土木工程学报,2005,38(3):115-118.
  Shi Fei,Wang Wei,Jiang Wei,et al.Research on forecast method for traffic creating based on characteristic of land utilizing[J]. China Civil Engineering Journal,2005, 38(3):115-118.(in Chinese)

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
作者简介: 杨敏(1981—),男,博士生; 王炜(联系人),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,wangwei@seu.edu.cn.
更新日期/Last Update: 2005-09-20