# [1]沈家军,王炜,陈学武.城市道路交叉口混合交通流机动车与非机动车冲突概率[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2010,40(5):1093-1096.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2010.05.040] 　Shen Jiajun,Wang Wei,Chen Xuewu.Study on conflict probability of motor and non-motor mixed traffic at urban intersections[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),2010,40(5):1093-1096.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2010.05.040] 点击复制 城市道路交叉口混合交通流机动车与非机动车冲突概率() 分享到： var jiathis_config = { data_track_clickback: true };

40

2010年第5期

1093-1096

2010-09-20

## 文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on conflict probability of motor and non-motor mixed traffic at urban intersections

1 扬州大学建筑科学与工程学院,扬州 225009; 2 东南大学交通学院,南京 210096
Author(s):
1 College of Civil Science and Engineering, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225009, China
2 School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China

Keywords:

U491.2
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2010.05.040

Abstract:
In order to quantify the conflict of motor and non-motor mixed traffic at urban intersections, a conflict probability model is developed. The conflict condition is analyzed at first, including the motor vehicles arrive at the conflict zone while it is occupied by non-motor vehicles; and the headways which motor vehicles offer aren’t longer than gaps of non-motor vehicles crossing motor vehicles. The distribution law of motor traffic headways and critical gap and occupying duration of non-motor traffic are selected as three critical parameters influencing conflict probability. Finally the models of parameter are developed based on investigation data. On the basis of above research, the conflict can be calculated. The results through an actual example indicate that the conflict probability increases with the volume of non-motor increasing, which accords with the actual condition of the traffic.

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