[1]石俊刚,周峰,朱炜,等.基于AFC数据的城轨乘客出行路径选择比例估计方法[J].东南大学学报(自然科学版),2015,45(1):184-188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2015.01.032]
　Shi Jungang,Zhou Feng,Zhu Wei,et al.Estimation method of passenger route choice proportion in urban rail transit based on AFC data[J].Journal of Southeast University (Natural Science Edition),2015,45(1):184-188.[doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2015.01.032]
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基于AFC数据的城轨乘客出行路径选择比例估计方法()
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《东南大学学报(自然科学版)》[ISSN:1001-0505/CN:32-1178/N]

卷:
45
期数:
2015年第1期
页码:
184-188
栏目:
交通运输工程
出版日期:
2015-01-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Estimation method of passenger route choice proportion in urban rail transit based on AFC data
作者:
石俊刚; 周峰; 朱炜; 徐瑞华
同济大学道路与交通工程教育部重点实验室, 上海 201804
Author(s):
Shi Jungang;  Zhou Feng;  Zhu Wei;  Xu Ruihua
Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of Ministry of Education, Tongji University, Shanghai 201804, China
关键词:
城市轨道交通;  路径选择比例;  AFC数据;  参数估计
Keywords:
urban rail transit;  route choice proportion;  automatic fare collection(AFC)data;  parameter estimation
分类号:
U293.5
DOI:
10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2015.01.032
摘要:
在分析城市轨道交通乘客旅行时间组成要素及其分布特性的基础上,提出了一种基于AFC数据的乘客出行路径选择比例估计方法.首先,采用单路径OD实际旅行时间数据,获得旅行时间组成要素的概率分布参数;然后,估计出多路径OD间各路径旅行时间的概率分布参数,并结合多路径OD实际旅行时间数据,得到各条路径的选择比例.仿真实验结果表明,在客流到达均衡、列车按图行车的假设前提下,该方法估计的路径选择比例误差小于1%.
Abstract:
The passenger travel time components in urban rail transit and the corresponding distribution characteristics are analyzed. And an estimation method of passenger route choice proportion based on automatic fare collection(AFC)data is proposed. First, the probability distribution parameters of travel time components are calculated by using actual travel time data of origin-destination(OD)with single route. Then, the probability distribution parameters of travel time of each route for OD with multi-route are estimated. The route choice proportion of each route is obtained by using actual travel time data of OD with multi-route. The simulation results show that the estimation error by the proposed method is less than 1% under the assumption that passengers arrive at the metro station evenly and trains operate on schedule.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期: 2014-08-05.
作者简介: 石俊刚(1986—),男,博士生;徐瑞华(联系人),男,博士,教授,博士生导师,rhxu@tongji.edu.cn.
基金项目: 国家自然科学基金资助项目(71271153,51408323)、中国博士后科学基金资助项目(2014M551454)、浙江省自然科学基金资助项目(LQ13G010010).
引用本文: 石俊刚,周峰,朱炜,等.基于AFC数据的城轨乘客出行路径选择比例估计方法[J].东南大学学报:自然科学版,2015,45(1):184-188. [doi:10.3969/j.issn.1001-0505.2015.01.032]
更新日期/Last Update: 2015-01-20